UN Projects Sharp Decrease in Armenia’s Population

Assistant representative of the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) to Armenia, Garik Hayrapetyan, and demographer Ruben Yeganyan, spoke about the UN projections at a press conference (Source: Armenpress)
Assistant representative of the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) to Armenia, Garik Hayrapetyan, and demographer Ruben Yeganyan, spoke about the UN projections at a press conference (Source: Armenpress)

Assistant representative of the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) to Armenia, Garik Hayrapetyan, and demographer Ruben Yeganyan, spoke about the UN projections at a press conference (Source: Armenpress)

YEREVAN (Public Radio of Armenia)—The population of Armenia will plunge to 1.8 million by 2100, according to projections made by the 2015 Revision of World Population Prospects of the United Nations.

Assistant representative of the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) to Armenia, Garik Hayrapetyan, and demographer Ruben Yeganyan, shared their insights on the results of this latest UN report.

“Actually, projections are made by optimistic, medium variant, and pessimistic scenarios. In 2100 Armenia will have [a population of] 1.8 million. The pessimistic variant projection states the population will decrease to less than one million in 2100,”   Hayrapetyan said at a press conference.

The world’s population is projected to reach 11.2 billion from its current 7.3 billion by 2100. Asia will see a likely reduction of its total population size. Europe will suffer a decrease, with 646 million people by 2100. The fastest-growing region is Africa, where population is projected to reach 4.4 billion.

Population growth in Turkey and Iran will remain high, but they will also see a decrease.

“A major concern for Armenia is the number of workers per retiree. Currently the ratio in the country is 5.4 workers per retiree, whereas the medium variant projection [says] the number will be 2.4 per one retiree in 2100, and the pessimistic projection sets the one per one variant. It will evolve into a huge social-economic burden for workers, and put an end to the principle of generations’ solidarity,” Hayrapetyan said.

With respect to the sex ratio in Armenia, Hayrapetyan said, “Now the sex ratio is 86 males to 100 females but this covers the whole population of Armenia. Meanwhile, among 0-19 olds, males exceed females by 11.4,” Hayrapetyan said.

Ruben Yeganyan said migration was the main factor used in determining these rates. “Now, 30,000 people emigrate from Armenia annually.” Armenia’s population is expected to decrease by 12,000 each year.

Yeganyan added, however, that the UN projection could turn out to be wrong. But the projections, he says, are not unexpected.  Yeganyan believes the country should work to address the issue by developing mechanisms to influence the situation, so that the projection does not come true.

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5 Comments

  1. mgl said:

    Protect borders and make kids Armenians. All who live in Syria and places like that must move to Armenia. Government must motivate families to have more kids. Stop criminals and confiscate what they grabbed and give back to people. There are lots things can be done to increase the population.

  2. amb said:

    If Armenia fails it would the fault of all of us Armenians all around the world, and not the few who stayed in Armenia and tried to actually participate and run the affairs of the country.

  3. Edward Demian said:

    Yeah well, if they would have treated the nerkaght returnees better, maybe more of them would have stayed. But as it was and as it is, people that emigrate to Armenia sometime return. If the Armenian government wanted more population, all it has to do is support large families, actively seek Armenians ready to return. Right now, you have to be rich just to reach Armenia. When you get there, then what?

  4. Mkhitar Yepremyan said:

    Voch aydpes chi linelu! Ayd Levoni Yeraz# Chi linelu.
    No, it is not going to be that way! Levon’s dream will not happen!
    Vay Mer Zoghovurd tesek te odar# inch e mtatzum mer masin! Vay Khelki Yekek Mez Uzum En Tanen Jur# Tapen! Vay Mez Sagh Sagh Taghum En!
    Mamat Taghenk Ay Levon! Taghen Kezi Turki Hoghum voch Hayi!

  5. Lynnie said:

    Jobs are the whole problem. You have people working, they spend more, they have more children, they don’t leave.

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