Turkish-Armenian Thaw a Possible Threat, Says Political Analyst

YEREVAN (Combined Sources)–A thaw in the Armenian-Turkish relations may pose threats to Armenia and should not arouse enthusiasm, political scientist and former Nagorno-Karabakh Republic Foreign Minister Levon Melik-Shahnazaryan told reporters during a press conference Monday.

“Being well informed of Turkey’s policy, I do not think initiatives like this may result in new agreemen’s, establishment of relations or the opening of embassies,” Shahnazaryan said, noting that Turkey’s political and economic interests are in line with Azerbaijan’s interests. “I do not see any reasons for any great enthusiasm over a thaw in Turkey’s relations with Armenia,” he said.

“Only small sections of the population, which will import Turkish goods to Armenia, may see benefits,” he said, noting that Armenia’s economy is unable to compete with Turkey’s.

Armenia will not benefit from the reopening of the Armenian-Turkish border and will instead suffer losses, Shahnazaryan explained, adding that Armenia will not benefit from normalized relations if it begins the process of improving ties before Turkey’s recognition of the Genocide.

But according to Egemen Bagis, the deputy chairman of Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party of which Turkey’s President and Prime Minister are leading members, Ankara will never recognize the Armenian Genocide as a step to improving relations with Yerevan.

Bagis’s remark came Sunday during a panel discussion in the Polish capital of Warsaw at the Krynica Economic Forum.

"Turkish President Abdullah Gul’s paying a visit to Armenia upon the invitation of Armenian President Serzh Sarkisian is the most concrete sign of Turkey’s good-will,” he said. “On the other hand, more than one million documen’s examined upon directives of Turkey proved that those bitter events were not genocide, but a civil war during a world war."

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